Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:32:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
59 0x5911…afe8 crypto 849 markets active 1d ago coverage 19d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 18d only
✗ bot/MM pace (142 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$525 (+3%) realized +$525 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate68%579W / 270L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day142.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$50
7 days−$55
14 days−$186
30 days−$321
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$321
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (142 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 215 +1.9% -7.8% 79% 16% -10.6%
≤30d 849 +0.6% -9.0% 68% 21% -11.1%
≤90d 849 +0.6% -9.0% 68% 21% -11.1%
all 849 +0.6% -9.0% 68% 21% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover142.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 21% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 8% -19.6%
15% -25.6% 3% -27.4%
20% -32.9% 2% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$5 · ×0.35 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$525
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses579 / 270
Open positions0
Markets (closed)849 / 849
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$21
Trades / day142.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 849 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $29 −$9 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $30 −$10 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $29 −$9 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $18 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $23 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $18 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $28 −$8 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 16 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $28 −$8 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $29 −$9 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $29 −$9 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $24 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $22 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $29 −$9 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $26 −$6 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $29 −$9 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $29 −$9 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $29 −$9 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $18 +$2 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $18 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $11 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $18 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $11 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $18 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $18 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $18 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $18 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $18 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $18 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $17 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $12 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $16 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $18 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $18 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $12 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records