Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:31:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
59 0x5913…a04b crypto 39 markets active 4d ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$81 (-48%) realized −$81 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -33% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -49% what you keep after slip
Net edge-49%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate33%13W / 26L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day42.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$87
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-39.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -33.4% -39.7% 33% 33% -56.5%
≤30d 39 -33.4% -39.7% 33% 33% -56.5%
≤90d 39 -33.4% -39.7% 33% 33% -56.5%
all 39 -33.4% -39.7% 33% 33% -56.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover42.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -39.7% 33% -56.5%
10% ← realistic here -45.5% 33% -60.7%
15% -50.8% 31% -64.5%
20% -55.6% 31% -68.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 39% · top 2 64% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -52% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -33% · $-wt -52% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -17% → late -49% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.6 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.3 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$81
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses13 / 26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)39 / 39
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day42.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 39 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$14 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 98 history records