trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -62.9% | -66.5% | 0% | 0% | -59.7% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +30.5% | +18.0% | 40% | 35% | -28.4% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +30.5% | +18.0% | 40% | 35% | -28.4% |
| all | 25 | +26.9% | +14.9% | 40% | 36% | -25.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +14.9% | 36% | -25.0% |
| 10% | +3.9% | 32% | -32.2% |
| 15% | -6.2% | 32% | -38.7% |
| 20% | -15.4% | 28% | -44.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5 | Over | 28¢ | 1¢ | $32 | $1 | −$31 (-98%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5 | Jun 20 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 19 | $51 | −$13 | -26% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 18 | $350 | −$204 | -58% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 17 | $17 | +$36 | +213% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $71 | −$4 | -6% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5 | Jun 15 | $64 | −$54 | -85% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $32 | −$6 | -20% |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next? | Jun 15 | $92 | +$7 | +8% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 | Jun 14 | $14 | +$90 | +656% |
| Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | Jun 14 | $10 | +$12 | +113% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | Jun 14 | $5 | +$10 | +189% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | Jun 14 | $10 | +$5 | +49% |
| Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome? | Jun 14 | $35 | +$59 | +167% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? | Jun 12 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 03 | $27 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 mil | Jun 03 | $47 | +$7 | +15% |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | Jan 16 | $25 | +$29 | +116% |
| Adelaide International: Tomas Machac vs Tommy Paul | Jan 16 | $47 | −$47 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Magic | Jan 16 | $50 | +$26 | +51% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | Jan 15 | $26 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jan 13 | $25 | −$1 | -2% |