Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:43:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x591c…6043
sports · 4 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$16 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$35 · open −$50
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$35
Unrealized−$50
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)3 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35
7 days+$35
14 days+$35
30 days+$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 26¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $10 −$2 -17%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $17 +$20 +118%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $17 +$16 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+50.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +66.0% +50.2% 67% 67% +62.0%
≤30d 3 +66.0% +50.2% 67% 67% +62.0%
≤90d 3 +66.0% +50.2% 67% 67% +62.0%
all 3 +66.0% +50.2% 67% 67% +62.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +50.2% 67% +62.0%
10% +35.8% 67% +46.5%
15% +22.7% 67% +32.4%
20% +10.6% 67% +19.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.10 · official $0.10 (match) · 10 history records