Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:39:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x5927…666b
crypto · 900 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$216 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$244 · open +$28
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$71
Realized−$244
Unrealized+$28
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses301 / 593
Open positions4
Markets (closed)894 / 900
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day2601.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 4 History 894 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$244
7 days−$244
14 days−$244
30 days−$244
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 32¢ 54¢ $13 $21 +$9 (+67%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 28¢ 50¢ $11 $20 +$9 (+80%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 33¢ 40¢ $13 $16 +$3 (+19%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 25¢ 56¢ $6 $14 +$8 (+122%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$4 -12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -79%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$30 +316%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$5 +30%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$8 +329%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$3 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$9 -39%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$2 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +223%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$11 +305%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$6 -23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$23 +81%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +69%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$23 +136%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$9 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$12 +158%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 -1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$9 -84%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$30
other 14% −$186
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 3m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 3m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 3m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $0 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $0 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $4 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $4 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $6 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $7 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $8 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 894 -4.9% -14.0% 34% 31% -12.6%
≤30d 894 -4.9% -14.0% 34% 31% -12.6%
≤90d 894 -4.9% -14.0% 34% 31% -12.6%
all 894 -4.9% -14.0% 34% 31% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2601.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 31% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 28% -21.0%
15% -29.7% 26% -28.6%
20% -36.6% 23% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $71.28 · official $41.45 · 3500 history records