trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 0% | 0% | -17.8% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +26.4% | +14.4% | 17% | 8% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +26.4% | +14.4% | 17% | 8% | -9.6% |
| all | 21 | +18.6% | +7.3% | 33% | 10% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +7.3% | 10% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -2.9% | 10% | -17.6% |
| 15% | -12.3% | 10% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -20.9% | 10% | -32.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $24 | −$3 | -12% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 15 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $104 | +$5 | +5% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $48 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 14 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $38 | +$1 | +3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $38 | −$3 | -8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 13 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 10 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Jun 08 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? | Jun 29 | $8 | $0 | +4% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 19 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 22 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 12 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Delaware State vs. Morgan State | Mar 03 | $16 | −$5 | -32% |
| Campbell vs. North Carolina A&T | Mar 03 | $8 | +$8 | +100% |