Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:06:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x5942…90f3
crypto · 1585 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,780 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,730 · open −$50
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized−$1,730
Unrealized−$50
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses1058 / 526
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1584 / 1585
History coverage6d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day348.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 1584 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$690
7 days−$1,730
14 days−$1,730
30 days−$1,730
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 95¢ 48¢ $99 $49 −$50 (-50%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$9 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$7 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $74 +$22 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$3 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$3 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$12 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$7 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$3 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$2 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$23 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$7 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$23 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$5 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $82 +$8 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$5 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$29 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$14 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$44 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$19 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$19 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $81 −$80 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $91 −$90 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$6 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$12 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$20 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$26 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$9 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$17 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$99 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$16 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$63 +63%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$14 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$19 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$15 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$8 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$22 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$99 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$99 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $64 +$40 +63%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$18 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $64 +$29 +45%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$17 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$1,219
other 3% −$263
tech 1% −$92
finance 1% −$201
economics 0% −$5
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $99 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $73 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $30 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $74 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $49 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $37 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $100 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $99 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $28 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $29 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $24 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $99 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $99 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $39 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $99 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $82 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $56 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $100 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $99 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $99 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $81 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $91 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $99 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $76 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $100 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1584 -4.2% -13.4% 67% 49% -11.8%
≤30d 1584 -4.2% -13.4% 67% 49% -11.8%
≤90d 1584 -4.2% -13.4% 67% 49% -11.8%
all 1584 -4.2% -13.4% 67% 49% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover348.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 49% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 40% -20.2%
15% -29.2% 28% -27.9%
20% -36.2% 22% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.22 · official $68.91 · 3500 history records