Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:54:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x5954…7d41
sports · 662 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$37,784 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$37,739 · open −$45
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,215
Realized−$37,739
Unrealized−$45
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses318 / 338
Whale WR (big bets)54%
Est. fees paid−$3,596
Open positions6
Markets (closed)656 / 662
History coverage69d
Avg bet$598
Trades / day36.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 6 History 656 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,648
7 days−$10,672
14 days+$2,377
30 days+$10,743
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 74¢ 72¢ $1,920 $1,881 −$39 (-2%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 48¢ $133 $129 −$4 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 79¢ 78¢ $118 $117 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 78¢ 76¢ $55 $53 −$1 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 39¢ 40¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 61¢ 60¢ $12 $11 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 62¢ 62¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? No 95¢ 0¢ $697 $0 −$697 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $154 $0 −$154 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $47 +$3 +6%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $6 +$8 +134%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $6 +$54 +982%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $50 +$23 +46%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $48 −$47 -97%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $158 −$154 -98%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $698 −$697 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $446 −$446 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $769 −$769 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2,650 −$2,648 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $178 +$26 +14%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $103 +$31 +30%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $22 +$13 +57%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $45 +$11 +24%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $69 +$15 +22%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $23 +$8 +34%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $17 −$17 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $50 +$22 +44%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5,921 −$5,855 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $22 −$8 -38%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $39 −$39 -100%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $69 −$69 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $314 −$298 -95%
Will Morocco vs. Norway end in a draw? Jun 07 $9 +$22 +250%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $193 +$59 +30%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 +$9 +172%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $152 −$152 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $292 +$96 +33%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $82 +$37 +46%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $94 +$68 +72%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $51 +$42 +83%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major St Jun 06 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $19 −$19 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04? Jun 06 $451 −$443 -98%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $933 −$922 -99%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $296 +$128 +43%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $141 −$138 -98%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $1 +$1 +105%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $149 +$88 +59%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 04 $13 +$4 +29%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $107 +$18 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% −$41,723
other 19% +$3,503
crypto 0% +$19
world 0% +$416
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $115 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 74¢ $1,915 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 74¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 77¢ $33 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 61¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 78¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 39¢ $18 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 79¢ $12 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 79¢ $118 2h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $21 7h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $9 7h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $31 7h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $15 7h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $96 7h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 7h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 7h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 7h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 7h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 7h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $8 7h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $12 7h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? BUY No 94¢ $28 7h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 94¢ $31 7h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? BUY No 94¢ $19 7h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 95¢ $667 9h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL No 54¢ $2 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +15.9% +4.9% 54% 51% -85.9%
≤30d 152 +0.3% -9.3% 53% 51% +8.9%
≤90d 656 -4.7% -13.8% 48% 46% -18.2%
all 656 -4.7% -13.8% 48% 46% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 46% -18.2%
10% -22.1% 40% -26.0%
15% ← realistic here -29.6% 31% -33.2%
20% -36.5% 25% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,215.26 · official $2,215.26 (match) · 3350 history records