trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +145.0% | +121.7% | 100% | 100% | +121.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +84.3% | +66.8% | 100% | 100% | +46.9% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -47.8% | -52.8% | 31% | 12% | -42.8% |
| all | 23 | -33.8% | -40.1% | 39% | 22% | -19.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -40.1% | 22% | -19.0% |
| 10% | -45.9% | 22% | -26.8% |
| 15% | -51.1% | 17% | -33.9% |
| 20% | -55.9% | 13% | -40.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Jun 18 | $153 | +$222 | +145% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Jun 15 | $326 | +$77 | +24% |
| Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale? | May 02 | $742 | −$387 | -52% |
| Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale? | May 02 | $560 | −$551 | -98% |
| Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale? | May 02 | $108 | +$2 | +2% |
| Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale? | May 02 | $1,440 | −$1,412 | -98% |
| Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale? | May 02 | $482 | −$462 | -96% |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | Apr 29 | $89 | −$63 | -71% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | Apr 28 | $840 | −$180 | -21% |
| Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale? | Apr 28 | $2,275 | +$10 | +0% |
| Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale? | Apr 28 | $780 | +$10 | +1% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on July 6? | Apr 28 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Brevis FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Apr 28 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Apr 28 | $48 | −$48 | -100% |
| Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Apr 28 | $105 | −$105 | -100% |
| Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Apr 28 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 6-12? | Jul 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on June 10? | Jul 06 | $4 | +$6 | +149% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | May 11 | $44 | −$44 | -100% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | May 11 | $34 | +$16 | +45% |
| Jets vs. Oilers | Apr 02 | $21 | +$19 | +92% |
| Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025? | Mar 21 | $163 | −$163 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Jan 01 | $21,088 | +$22 | +0% |