trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics | Athletics | 70¢ | 84¢ | $7,000 | $8,323 | +$1,323 (+19%) |
| Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals | Kansas City Royals | 7¢ | 18¢ | $2,467 | $5,952 | +$3,484 (+141%) |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels | Tampa Bay Rays | 38¢ | 16¢ | $6,000 | $2,602 | −$3,398 (-57%) |
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets | Atlanta Braves | 49¢ | 4¢ | $3,000 | $214 | −$2,786 (-93%) |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Philadelphia Phillies | 13¢ | 0¢ | $3,000 | $0 | −$3,000 (-100%) |
| San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles | San Diego Padres | 9¢ | 0¢ | $3,000 | $0 | −$3,000 (-100%) |
| New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays | New York Yankees | 24¢ | 0¢ | $6,000 | $0 | −$6,000 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $1,000 | $0 | −$1,000 (-100%) |
| Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 39¢ | 0¢ | $3,000 | $0 | −$3,000 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins | Jun 13 | $5,100 | +$6,283 | +123% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 13 | $7,065 | +$2,463 | +35% |
| New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Jun 13 | $9,217 | −$3,922 | -43% |
| San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles | Jun 13 | $11,186 | −$3,000 | -27% |
| Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 13 | $8,121 | −$3,000 | -37% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Jun 13 | $3,078 | −$3,000 | -98% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $11,609 | +$1,121 | +10% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 | Jun 12 | $5,013 | +$475 | +10% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 | Jun 12 | $5,013 | +$481 | +10% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $1,025 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 | Jun 12 | $5,039 | +$1,718 | +34% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics | BUY Athletics | 68¢ | $2,019 | 36m |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY Tampa Bay Rays | 35¢ | $2,039 | 49m |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins | SELL St. Louis Cardinals | 89¢ | $4,524 | 53m |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY St. Louis Cardinals | 39¢ | $2,037 | 1h |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins | SELL Minnesota Twins | 68¢ | $6,859 | 1h |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics | BUY Athletics | 71¢ | $5,043 | 1h |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY Tampa Bay Rays | 40¢ | $4,072 | 1h |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY Minnesota Twins | 29¢ | $3,063 | 1h |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox | SELL Chicago White Sox | 94¢ | $9,529 | 2h |
| New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY New York Yankees | 23¢ | $3,069 | 2h |
| New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY New York Yankees | 24¢ | $3,068 | 2h |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY Chicago White Sox | 69¢ | $7,065 | 2h |
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets | BUY Atlanta Braves | 49¢ | $3,046 | 2h |
| New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays | SELL New York Yankees | 20¢ | $4,956 | 2h |
| New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY New York Yankees | 12¢ | $3,080 | 2h |
| Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY Kansas City Royals | 7¢ | $2,536 | 2h |
| San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY San Diego Padres | 9¢ | $3,082 | 3h |
| Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY Pittsburgh Pirates | 39¢ | $3,055 | 3h |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY Philadelphia Phillies | 13¢ | $3,078 | 3h |
| San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles | SELL Baltimore Orioles | 87¢ | $12,177 | 3h |
| San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles | SELL Baltimore Orioles | 90¢ | $75 | 3h |
| San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles | SELL Baltimore Orioles | 90¢ | $100 | 3h |
| Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | SELL Miami Marlins | 58¢ | $5,100 | 3h |
| Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY Miami Marlins | 56¢ | $5,066 | 3h |
| San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY Baltimore Orioles | 60¢ | $5,059 | 4h |
| San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY Baltimore Orioles | 50¢ | $3,045 | 4h |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina | 90¢ | $40 | 7h |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina | 90¢ | $180 | 7h |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina | 90¢ | $9 | 7h |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina | 90¢ | $90 | 7h |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -22.2% | -29.6% | 55% | 27% | -11.8% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -22.2% | -29.6% | 55% | 27% | -11.8% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -22.2% | -29.6% | 55% | 27% | -11.8% |
| all | 11 | -22.2% | -29.6% | 55% | 27% | -11.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -29.6% | 27% | -11.8% |
| 10% | -36.4% | 27% | -20.2% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -42.5% | 9% | -27.9% |
| 20% | -48.2% | 9% | -35.0% |