Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:13:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x595e…8c83
crypto · 44 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$8 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses21 / 23
Open positions0
Markets (closed)44 / 44
History coverage14d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +93%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 08 $1 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 02 $1 +$1 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 02 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 02 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 02 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 02 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET May 31 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 31 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET May 30 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET May 30 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET May 30 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET May 30 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 30 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 29 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 29 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET May 29 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 29 $1 +$1 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$8
politics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL No 18¢ $1 4d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY No 19¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $2 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-21.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -12.5% -20.8% 40% 40% -19.2%
≤30d 44 -13.1% -21.4% 48% 43% -19.7%
≤90d 44 -13.1% -21.4% 48% 43% -19.7%
all 44 -13.1% -21.4% 48% 43% -19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.4% 43% -19.7%
10% -28.9% 39% -27.4%
15% -35.8% 32% -34.4%
20% -42.1% 30% -40.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 94 history records