Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:40:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x5965…cda6
crypto · 589 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$374 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$517 · open +$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$517
Unrealized+$10
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses536 / 72
Open positions1
Markets (closed)608 / 589
History coverage28d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day103.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 608 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$397
7 days−$420
14 days−$465
30 days−$517
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 0¢ 88¢ $0 $10 +$10 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $190 −$190 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $28 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $47 −$5 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $48 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $34 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$6 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$8 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $85 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $38 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $81 +$10 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $77 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $68 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $66 +$5 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$138
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 -17.8% -25.6% 77% 10% -22.9%
≤30d 608 -5.2% -14.2% 88% 6% -12.1%
≤90d 608 -5.2% -14.2% 88% 6% -12.1%
all 608 -5.2% -14.2% 88% 6% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover103.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 6% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 2% -20.5%
15% -29.9% 1% -28.2%
20% -36.8% 1% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.50 · official $9.06 · 3500 history records