Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:06:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x5966…f804
sports · 59 markets active 7d ago
0.0score
−$492,775 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$492,775 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$492,775
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses29 / 56
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$29,911
Open positions0
Markets (closed)85 / 59
Avg bet$39,589
Trades / day203.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 0 History 85 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,173,659
7 days−$1,173,659
14 days−$717,441
30 days−$492,775
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 24¢ 0¢ $16,703 $0 −$16,703 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays 11¢ 0¢ $14,963 $0 −$14,963 (-100%)
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $8,975 $0 −$8,975 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina Coco Gauff 56¢ 0¢ $74,994 $0 −$74,994 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Juan Manuel Cerundolo 39¢ 0¢ $39,000 $0 −$39,000 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Chicago Cubs 29¢ 0¢ $22,834 $0 −$22,834 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? No 42¢ 0¢ $42,000 $0 −$42,000 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins Baltimore Orioles 22¢ 0¢ $22,107 $0 −$22,107 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev Quentin Halys 2¢ 0¢ $232 $0 −$232 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A paiN 34¢ 0¢ $46,146 $0 −$46,146 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians Los Angeles Angels 40¢ 0¢ $48,018 $0 −$48,018 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta Thiago Agustin Tirante 49¢ 0¢ $50,220 $0 −$50,220 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur Clement Tabur 1¢ 0¢ $360 $0 −$360 (-100%)
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella Seidel Ella Seidel 44¢ 0¢ $19,608 $0 −$19,608 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Casper Ruud 14¢ 0¢ $15,632 $0 −$15,632 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe Jaime Faria 38¢ 0¢ $33,994 $0 −$33,994 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann Jil Teichmann 11¢ 0¢ $16,863 $0 −$16,863 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs BetBoom Team 47¢ 0¢ $79,958 $0 −$79,958 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A BC.Game Esports 37¢ 0¢ $34,326 $0 −$34,326 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tien Cristian Garin 33¢ 0¢ $44,168 $0 −$44,168 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners Arizona Diamondbacks 25¢ 0¢ $27,081 $0 −$27,081 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 14¢ 0¢ $19,634 $0 −$19,634 (-100%)
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $98,282 $0 −$98,282 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Passion UA 6¢ 0¢ $3,401 $0 −$3,401 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Baltimore Orioles 37¢ 0¢ $46,268 $0 −$46,268 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $8,975 −$8,975 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina Jun 12 $74,994 −$74,994 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $42,000 −$42,000 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins Jun 12 $22,107 −$22,107 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Jun 12 $46,146 −$46,146 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 12 $48,018 −$48,018 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs Jun 12 $79,958 −$79,958 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Jun 12 $34,326 −$34,326 -100%
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12? Jun 12 $98,282 −$98,282 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Jun 12 $3,401 −$3,401 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $355 −$355 -100%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $13,599 −$13,599 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics Jun 12 $54,328 −$54,328 -100%
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $50,384 −$50,384 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 12 $76,380 −$76,380 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons Jun 12 $36,023 −$36,023 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $39,750 −$39,750 -100%
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 12 $31,619 −$31,619 -100%
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Katerina Siniakova Jun 12 $70,879 −$70,879 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 12 $98,849 −$98,849 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $12,912 −$12,912 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics Jun 12 $98,788 −$98,788 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $3,034 −$3,034 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Jun 12 $27,191 −$27,191 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 12 $49,028 −$49,028 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07? Jun 12 $52,335 −$52,335 -100%
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 04 $24,951 −$67 -0%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $48,649 +$51,351 +106%
Will Lynn Vision win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 04 $21,869 −$24 -0%
Will TYLOO win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 04 $2,503 −$3 -0%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $33,759 −$33,605 -100%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 04 $20,094 −$19,634 -98%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $61,528 +$38,171 +62%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 03 $16,904 −$16,703 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 03 $43,336 +$28,952 +67%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Jun 03 $37,312 +$37,688 +101%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 03 $40,384 +$35,205 +87%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 02 $38,952 +$16,221 +42%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $35,634 +$39,366 +110%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $34,109 +$24,162 +71%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Jun 02 $20,695 −$20,279 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 02 $60,467 +$65,004 +108%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $39,714 −$39,000 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 01 $53,747 +$46,253 +86%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics May 31 $93,641 +$55,396 +59%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners May 31 $27,691 −$27,081 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca May 31 $15,897 −$15,632 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic May 31 $49,366 +$49,270 +100%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann May 31 $16,997 −$16,863 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek May 31 $46,497 −$46,057 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% +$703,655
other 17% −$22,771
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 99¢ $13,945 7d
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10,938 7d
Will Lynn Vision win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 100¢ $21,845 7d
Will TYLOO win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 100¢ $2,500 7d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 70¢ $92 7d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 70¢ $467 7d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 70¢ $14,513 7d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 70¢ $714 7d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 92¢ $2,868 7d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 92¢ $58 7d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 92¢ $2,856 7d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 92¢ $2,658 7d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 92¢ $12 7d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 92¢ $14 7d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 92¢ $60 7d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 92¢ $9,447 7d
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $3,127 7d
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 7d
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 7d
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 7d
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $14 7d
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1,034 7d
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $2 7d
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $9,980 7d
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 7d
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $2 7d
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 7d
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY THUNDER dOWNUNDER 13¢ $15,308 7d
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY THUNDER dOWNUNDER 18¢ $1,817 7d
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY THUNDER dOWNUNDER 18¢ $5 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-33.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 85 -26.5% -33.5% 34% 33% -22.3%
≤90d 85 -26.5% -33.5% 34% 33% -22.3%
all 85 -26.5% -33.5% 34% 33% -22.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover203.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.5% 33% -22.3%
10% -39.8% 33% -29.7%
15% ← realistic here -45.6% 32% -36.5%
20% -51.0% 29% -42.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records