Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:56:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x596f…99fc
crypto · 1370 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,980 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,967 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$1,967
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses994 / 375
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1369 / 1370
History coverage56d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day37.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1369 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days+$6
14 days−$426
30 days−$2,379
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 55¢ 6¢ $15 $2 −$13 (-88%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,980
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $15 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $15 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 89 -7.6% -16.4% 64% 58% -9.0%
≤30d 823 -4.1% -13.3% 82% 35% -17.1%
≤90d 1369 -2.0% -11.4% 73% 44% -12.9%
all 1369 -2.0% -11.4% 73% 44% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 44% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 33% -21.2%
15% -27.6% 30% -28.8%
20% -34.7% 27% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.77 · official $8.86 · 3500 history records