trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +8.2% | -2.1% | 57% | 43% | -6.3% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 55% | 27% | -10.4% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +4.4% | -5.5% | 62% | 31% | -9.7% |
| all | 17 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 59% | 24% | -10.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.0% | 24% | -10.8% |
| 10% | -20.4% | 24% | -19.3% |
| 15% | -28.1% | 12% | -27.1% |
| 20% | -35.1% | 6% | -34.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $308 | +$77 | +25% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $178 | +$61 | +34% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Jun 21 | $215 | −$157 | -73% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $315 | −$64 | -20% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $204 | +$264 | +129% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $328 | −$124 | -38% |
| Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? | Jun 20 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presid | Jun 10 | $69 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidentia | May 30 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presid | May 26 | $126 | −$32 | -25% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian | May 26 | $152 | −$45 | -30% |
| US strike on Colombia by March 31? | Apr 02 | $120 | +$7 | +6% |
| Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Represent | Apr 01 | $19 | +$9 | +48% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Mar 01 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | Feb 05 | $151 | +$1 | +1% |
| US strike on Colombia by January 31? | Feb 02 | $60 | $0 | +0% |
| Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? | Jan 27 | $20 | −$1 | -5% |