Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T23:09:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
59 0x5990…fc5a crypto 85 markets active 6d ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (65 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$42 (+1%) realized +$42 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate51%43W / 42L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$83per market
Trades / day64.7pace
Fees−$9est.
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 78% −$1,156
other 16% +$219
sports 6% +$576
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (65 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -21.0% -28.5% 40% 40% -29.8%
≤30d 85 -1.4% -10.8% 51% 44% -13.0%
≤90d 85 -1.4% -10.8% 51% 44% -13.0%
all 85 -1.4% -10.8% 51% 44% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover64.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 44% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 32% -21.3%
15% -27.1% 26% -28.9%
20% -34.3% 19% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 41% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +23% → late -26% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$52 vs −$61 · ×0.84 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses43 / 42
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)85 / 85
History coverage4d
Avg bet$83
Trades / day64.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 85 Trades
no open positions (33 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 20 $63 −$48 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 20 $105 −$9 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 20 $78 −$25 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 20 $26 −$25 -95%
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 20 $58 +$43 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 20 $21 +$37 +177%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 20 $131 −$100 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 20 $340 −$100 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 20 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 20 $26 +$14 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 20 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 20 $52 +$35 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 20 $78 −$18 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 20 $26 +$14 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 20 $26 +$10 +38%
England leading at halftime? Jun 17 $118 −$115 -98%
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Croatia? Jun 17 $80 −$78 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $98 +$1 +1%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $449 −$442 -98%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 17 $97 −$95 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $155 +$21 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $156 −$150 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $157 −$17 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $130 +$29 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $156 +$13 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $129 −$32 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $90 +$19 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $259 +$30 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $154 +$12 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $129 +$18 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $156 −$140 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $207 +$46 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $157 −$62 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $156 −$150 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $104 −$47 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $104 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $103 +$11 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $105 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $103 +$23 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $104 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $104 +$48 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $104 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $52 +$22 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $52 +$22 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $12 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $91 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $68 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $26 6d
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 57¢ $58 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $23 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $105 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $104 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $155 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $105 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $169 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $105 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 248 history records