Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:31:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x5999…bdbe
sports · 281 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$16,030 -142%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15,793 · open −$195
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$428
Realized−$15,793
Unrealized−$195
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses157 / 227
Est. fees paid−$144
Open positions21
Markets (closed)384 / 281
History coverage7d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day465.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 21 History 384 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14,852
7 days−$15,544
14 days−$15,793
30 days−$15,793
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 67¢ 100¢ $117 $175 +$58 (+49%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 53¢ 100¢ $27 $51 +$24 (+89%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 18¢ 100¢ $6 $34 +$28 (+463%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 60¢ 80¢ $25 $34 +$8 (+32%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 73¢ 100¢ $24 $33 +$9 (+36%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No 50¢ 8¢ $105 $18 −$87 (-83%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 64¢ 100¢ $10 $16 +$6 (+56%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 62¢ 100¢ $9 $15 +$6 (+62%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Tatiana Prozorova 63¢ 100¢ $7 $12 +$4 (+59%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D Virtus.pro 60¢ 100¢ $4 $8 +$3 (+68%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+100%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Federico Cina 52¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+91%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Mark Lajal 82¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+21%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 73¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+37%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 63¢ 64¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 53¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$1 (+89%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 71¢ 62¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-13%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 75¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+33%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 79¢ 27¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-66%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 44¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-53%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Leyre Romero Gormaz 36¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 70¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Arthur Gea 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 51¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Zdenek Kolar 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $249 −$249 -100%
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $250 −$250 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 12 $250 −$250 -100%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $250 −$250 -100%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $255 −$249 -98%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $250 −$250 -100%
Spread: Pistons (-4.5) Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $202 −$202 -100%
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $250 −$250 -100%
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $248 −$248 -100%
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Raptors (-4.5) Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 4? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 6? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $249 −$249 -100%
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 12 $138 −$138 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 12 $248 −$248 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $248 −$248 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 1? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $249 −$249 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 12 $225 −$225 -100%
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Alanyaspor vs. Kayserispor end in a draw? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Senators Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros Jun 12 $249 −$249 -100%
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) Jun 12 $14 −$58 -427%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-7.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $250 −$250 -100%
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $139 −$139 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 12 $249 −$249 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Jun 12 $250 −$250 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$591
other 2% −$189
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 65¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 65¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 65¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 65¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 68¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 57¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 61¢ $2 1h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 82¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 61¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 61¢ $2 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 77¢ $2 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 79¢ $2 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 79¢ $2 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 79¢ $2 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 79¢ $2 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 79¢ $2 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 79¢ $2 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 79¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-38.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 383 -31.3% -37.8% 41% 37% -63.8%
≤30d 384 -31.4% -38.0% 41% 37% -64.2%
≤90d 384 -31.4% -38.0% 41% 37% -64.2%
all 384 -31.4% -38.0% 41% 37% -64.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover465.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.0% 37% -64.2%
10% ← realistic here -43.9% 33% -67.6%
15% -49.3% 28% -70.7%
20% -54.3% 20% -73.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $428.01 · official $428.01 (match) · 3500 history records