Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:43:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x59d7…f69d
sports · 1458 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$367 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$384 · open +$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$45
Realized−$384
Unrealized+$17
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses788 / 666
Est. fees paid−$134
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1454 / 1458
History coverage63d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day34.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 4 History 1454 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$33
14 days−$11
30 days−$495
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 15¢ 81¢ $8 $42 +$34 (+429%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 82¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+22%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Over 50¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +44%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $13 +$9 +70%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 11 $8 +$7 +90%
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Jun 11 $8 +$8 +101%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $20 +$18 +90%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 10 $2 +$3 +165%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 09 $6 +$7 +105%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $16 +$17 +109%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $2 +$1 +93%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 07 $5 +$5 +93%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 07 $4 +$4 +86%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $1 $0 +27%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $2 $0 +26%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $15 +$5 +33%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5) Jun 07 $15 −$15 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $9 −$9 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $23 +$13 +57%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $1 +$1 +46%
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) Jun 06 $5 +$5 +105%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $4 +$6 +134%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $2 +$1 +83%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $5 −$1 -21%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $4 +$1 +31%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 05 $7 −$7 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $1 +$1 +52%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 04 $2 +$2 +101%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $1 +$2 +165%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 04 $11 −$11 -100%
Perugia: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Timofey Skatov Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 03 $2 +$2 +124%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 03 $10 −$10 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $4 +$1 +27%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 02 $2 +$2 +114%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 02 $12 +$1 +8%
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $3 +$3 +109%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$197
other 12% −$170
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 43¢ $1 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 50¢ $2 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $2 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 82¢ $1 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $6 10h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $8 16h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 69¢ $1 18h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 32¢ $16 26h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 32¢ $2 26h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $13 27h
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) BUY Spurs 52¢ $8 45h
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) BUY Spurs 49¢ $8 46h
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Boston Red Sox 43¢ $3 2d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Hurricanes 52¢ $1 2d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Hurricanes 52¢ $19 2d
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 37¢ $2 2d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 43¢ $8 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 48¢ $6 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 47¢ $4 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 47¢ $12 3d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 55¢ $2 3d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 55¢ $2 3d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 48¢ $1 4d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 55¢ $1 4d
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres BUY New York Mets 51¢ $2 5d
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Detroit Tigers 53¢ $4 5d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 60¢ $3 5d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 51¢ $5 5d
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5) BUY Zverev 38¢ $1 5d
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5) BUY Zverev 38¢ $10 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +10.5% -0.0% 59% 59% +3.9%
≤30d 213 -5.1% -14.1% 50% 50% -31.7%
≤90d 1454 -2.9% -12.1% 54% 54% -12.7%
all 1454 -2.9% -12.1% 54% 54% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 54% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 48% -21.1%
15% -28.2% 40% -28.7%
20% -35.2% 33% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.17 · official $45.17 (match) · 3500 history records