trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -74.4% | -76.9% | 20% | 10% | -24.3% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -11.0% | -19.5% | 24% | 19% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -11.0% | -19.5% | 24% | 19% | -9.1% |
| all | 26 | -23.2% | -30.5% | 23% | 19% | -10.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.5% | 19% | -10.2% |
| 10% | -37.1% | 19% | -18.8% |
| 15% | -43.2% | 15% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -48.8% | 12% | -33.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 19¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $7 | +$3 | +48% |
| Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $123 | +$10 | +8% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $7 | −$7 | -97% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5 | Jun 15 | $1 | +$7 | +661% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$25 | +250% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $12 | −$11 | -88% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$21 | +403% |
| Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times? | Feb 12 | $1 | $0 | +28% |
| Super Bowl LVIII: Will Usher's first song of the Super Bowl LVIII Half | Feb 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII? | Feb 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Super Bowl LVIII: Will the 49ers win by between 3 and 6 points? | Feb 11 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Super Bowl LVIII: Will Usher's first song of the Super Bowl LVIII Half | Feb 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |