Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x59e6…65ba
crypto · 642 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$184 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$184 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$5
Realized−$184
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses397 / 244
Open positions1
Markets (closed)641 / 642
Avg bet$24
Trades / day5.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 641 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days−$131
14 days−$166
30 days−$167
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 68¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$184
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $6 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $6 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 321 -7.3% -16.1% 54% 52% -16.6%
≤30d 430 -6.8% -15.7% 56% 45% -13.4%
≤90d 430 -6.8% -15.7% 56% 45% -13.4%
all 641 -4.3% -13.4% 62% 37% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.4% 37% -10.6%
10% -21.7% 27% -19.2%
15% -29.3% 24% -27.0%
20% -36.2% 18% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.28 · official $5.28 (match) · 1181 history records