Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x59ed…7d8d
crypto · 34 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$40 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$40 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$40
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses17 / 17
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 34
History coverage60d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$31
7 days−$31
14 days−$22
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$6 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $4 −$1 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$20 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 04 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 04 $4 +$9 +216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$11 +216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12PM ET Jun 04 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 04 $13 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 04 $4 +$10 +227%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 04 $4 +$4 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 04 $11 $0 -1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee May 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Apr 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week? (April 19) Apr 18 $11 +$10 +93%
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 19) Apr 18 $6 −$1 -11%
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (April 19) Apr 15 $8 −$4 -53%
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 19) Apr 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" this week? (April 19) Apr 14 $1 +$2 +168%
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (April 19) Apr 13 $3 $0 +11%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (April 19) Apr 13 $1 $0 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$37
politics 13% +$2
economics 2% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 7¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 9¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $19 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $9 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $13 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -21.7% -29.1% 60% 47% -29.9%
≤30d 25 +2.2% -7.5% 56% 48% -19.0%
≤90d 34 -1.5% -10.9% 50% 44% -23.1%
all 34 -1.5% -10.9% 50% 44% -23.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.9% 44% -23.1%
10% -19.4% 26% -30.5%
15% -27.2% 24% -37.2%
20% -34.3% 18% -43.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 88 history records