trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 0 Tunisia? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $50 | $48 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 | Under | 35¢ | 34¢ | $40 | $39 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Yes | 34¢ | 34¢ | $40 | $39 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 1 Tunisia? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $30 | $27 | −$3 (-9%) |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $30 | $27 | −$3 (-9%) |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Japan? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $30 | $26 | −$4 (-14%) |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-4%) |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BNK FEARX | 52¢ | 0¢ | $103 | $0 | −$103 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | Down | 7¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian | Qinwen Zheng | 78¢ | 0¢ | $46 | $0 | −$46 (-100%) |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | 76ers | 48¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali | Jun 12 | $51 | +$49 | +96% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag | Jun 11 | $101 | +$55 | +55% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 11 | $101 | +$64 | +63% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 11 | $71 | +$84 | +119% |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm | Jun 11 | $78 | +$28 | +36% |
| New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians | Jun 10 | $85 | +$11 | +13% |
| Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi | Jun 10 | $61 | +$25 | +42% |
| HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis | Jun 10 | $50 | +$9 | +18% |
| HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian | Jun 08 | $46 | −$46 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs MARKandLARRY (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series | Jun 08 | $47 | −$1 | -2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | May 27 | $5 | +$3 | +62% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | May 27 | $11 | −$10 | -95% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 27 | $2 | +$4 | +172% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 10 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | May 10 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | May 10 | $2 | +$1 | +47% |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Apr 14 | $105 | −$103 | -99% |
| Hersonissos 2: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Paul Jubb | Apr 14 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will XRP dip to $0.40 in March? | Apr 14 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026? | Apr 14 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Mar 09 | $2 | $0 | +12% |
| Will XRP reach $2.00 in February? | Mar 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | Mar 09 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026? | Feb 23 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting | Feb 23 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025? | Jan 22 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +34.0% | +21.3% | 80% | 80% | +27.1% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +36.5% | +23.5% | 77% | 77% | +25.8% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +11.4% | +0.8% | 70% | 55% | +9.0% |
| all | 26 | +9.5% | -0.9% | 77% | 46% | +8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.9% | 46% | +8.7% |
| 10% | -10.4% | 35% | -1.7% |
| 15% | -19.1% | 35% | -11.2% |
| 20% | -27.0% | 23% | -19.9% |