Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:38:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5a1c…d114
crypto · 930 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$87 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$205 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$205
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses672 / 258
Open positions0
Markets (closed)930 / 930
History coverage44d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day50.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 930 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$36
14 days−$21
30 days−$208
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $34 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$6 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$6 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $17 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$200
other 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 104 -7.0% -15.9% 88% 5% -10.7%
≤30d 771 -7.3% -16.1% 71% 11% -10.6%
≤90d 930 -5.6% -14.6% 72% 13% -10.5%
all 930 -5.6% -14.6% 72% 13% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 13% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 7% -19.1%
15% -30.3% 4% -26.9%
20% -37.1% 2% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3106 history records