Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:37:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5a20…cd91
sports · 1227 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$215 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$218 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$218
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses831 / 384
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1215 / 1227
History coverage244d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day8.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 8 History 1215 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$5
14 days+$1
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 Over 73¢ 72¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch? No 91¢ 85¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31? No 85¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 83¢ 75¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No 78¢ 69¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-65%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 70¢ 16¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-76%)
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $4 +$1 +30%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $3 +$1 +17%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $3 +$1 +18%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 14 $1 +$2 +129%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 +18%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +20%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $2 +$1 +31%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $1 $0 +23%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $1 $0 +18%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $2 $0 +18%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $2 −$2 -77%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $3 +$1 +42%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 0.5 Jun 07 $1 $0 +9%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $2 +$1 +27%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $5 +$1 +11%
UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5 Jun 07 $2 $0 +10%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $2 $0 +22%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $2 +$1 +25%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $1 $0 +10%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $2 $0 +5%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $2 $0 +16%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $5 +$3 +62%
Will Gibraltar win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1 $0 +20%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $3 −$1 -21%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $2 −$2 -78%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $2 $0 +24%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $2 $0 +13%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $2 +$1 +47%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $7 $0 +7%
Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $1 $0 +18%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1 +$1 +50%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $1 $0 +12%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $1 $0 +17%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $1 +$1 +52%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5 Jun 04 $1 $0 +10%
Will Israel win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $1 $0 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% −$65
other 26% −$175
politics 6% +$10
crypto 3% +$8
world 3% +$12
culture 2% −$7
tech 1% −$5
finance 0% +$1
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 73¢ $1 40m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 100¢ $5 41m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 76¢ $4 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 91¢ $4 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 77¢ $3 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $3 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 84¢ $3 9h
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? SELL Yes 89¢ $3 9h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY 39¢ $3 19h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $1 22h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 23¢ $4 22h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 64¢ $1 25h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Under 75¢ $1 25h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? A BUY 30¢ $2 2d
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $1 2d
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 70¢ $1 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 68¢ $1 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 68¢ $1 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Under 91¢ $1 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 84¢ $2 3d
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14 BUY 1¢ $1 3d
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 83¢ $1 3d
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 3d
Will England win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 86¢ $2 4d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $2 4d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $1 5d
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 81¢ $1 5d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 84¢ $1 5d
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 84¢ $2 6d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 21¢ $0 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 +5.6% -4.4% 81% 69% +0.4%
≤30d 110 -0.7% -10.1% 78% 61% -9.6%
≤90d 534 -5.1% -14.1% 71% 53% -12.5%
all 1215 -3.0% -12.2% 68% 52% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.2% 52% -13.9%
10% -20.6% 34% -22.1%
15% -28.3% 22% -29.6%
20% -35.3% 14% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.34 · official $5.34 (match) · 2988 history records