Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T10:28:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
5A 0x5a25…099d crypto 1332 markets active 2h ago coverage 184d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 183d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$8,913 (-29%) realized −$8,913 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR17%break-even
Win rate87%1157W / 175L
Whale WR67%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day13.0pace
Fees−$8est.
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 184d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 54% −$130
world 22% +$155
other 14% +$75
sports 8% −$768
politics 1% −$2
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -12.2% -20.6% 80% 11% -81.9%
≤30d 130 -4.3% -13.4% 82% 12% -12.8%
≤90d 309 -3.4% -12.6% 85% 7% -11.8%
all 1332 -1.6% -11.0% 87% 17% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.0% 17% -11.5%
10% -19.5% 7% -19.9%
15% -27.3% 3% -27.7%
20% -34.4% 1% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
79% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 67% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$11 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

184d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$8,913
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses1157 / 175
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1332 / 1332
History coverage184d ⚠
Avg bet$23
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1332 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 23 $62 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -99%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11PM ET Jun 23 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 23 $4 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 22 $3 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 22 $16 −$16 -100%
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 22 $300 −$300 -100%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Jun 22 $539 −$539 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7AM ET Jun 22 $12 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 6AM ET Jun 22 $10 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 22 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 22 $4 $0 +8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $30 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 15h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records