trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 10% | 0% | -10.9% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 25% | 0% | -10.4% |
| all | 31 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 52% | 3% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 3% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 19 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 17 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 26 | $38 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 24 | $30 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | May 21 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 21 | $12 | −$3 | -24% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 20 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 20 | $75 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 19 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jun 28 | $8 | $0 | -5% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 08 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jun 08 | $3 | $0 | -13% |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025? | Jun 07 | $3 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament? | Jun 07 | $7 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Oracle buy TikTok? | Jun 04 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 03 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Jun 03 | $7 | $0 | +7% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | May 08 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 19 | $7 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 20 | $9 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 44°F or below on February 25 | Mar 04 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Kieran Culkin win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "A Real Pa | Feb 23 | $9 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Solana dip to $140 by February 28 2025? | Feb 23 | $9 | +$1 | +7% |
| Arkansas vs. Auburn | Feb 20 | $7 | +$1 | +12% |