trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -31.2% | -37.7% | 60% | 60% | -13.0% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -6.1% | -15.0% | 62% | 62% | +8.5% |
| ≤90d | 46 | -13.9% | -22.1% | 65% | 39% | -9.7% |
| all | 89 | -13.2% | -21.5% | 65% | 47% | -11.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.5% | 47% | -11.4% |
| 10% | -29.0% | 21% | -19.9% |
| 15% | -35.8% | 10% | -27.6% |
| 20% | -42.1% | 6% | -34.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $208 | $206 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 99¢ | $122 | $129 | +$6 (+5%) |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $112 | $108 | −$4 (-4%) |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $48 | $48 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-89%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $316 | +$34 | +11% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 21 | $101 | −$98 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $268 | +$32 | +12% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $105 | −$102 | -98% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $412 | +$88 | +21% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $62 | −$60 | -97% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $334 | +$66 | +20% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 10 | $127 | −$124 | -98% |
| LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs | Jun 07 | $302 | +$98 | +32% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 07 | $148 | −$145 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02? | Jun 02 | $226 | +$374 | +165% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $262 | +$338 | +129% |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-24? | May 24 | $268 | +$82 | +31% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 21 | $227 | −$224 | -99% |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31? | May 20 | $148 | +$2 | +2% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $247 | +$103 | +42% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $135 | −$132 | -98% |
| Will Angers SCO vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw? | May 11 | $72 | +$178 | +250% |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $259 | +$41 | +16% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $64 | +$36 | +57% |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-07? | May 07 | $19 | −$19 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 07 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 07 | $47 | −$46 | -98% |
| Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-03? | May 03 | $342 | +$58 | +17% |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | May 01 | $49 | +$1 | +1% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 01 | $182 | −$180 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A | May 01 | $93 | +$7 | +7% |
| Will Solana reach $130 in April? | May 01 | $101 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Apr 29 | $46 | +$5 | +11% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 28 | $252 | −$251 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 23 | $236 | −$234 | -99% |
| Will Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | Apr 23 | $152 | +$49 | +32% |
| Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-22? | Apr 23 | $191 | +$10 | +5% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 19 | $49 | −$48 | -97% |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Apr 16 | $298 | +$51 | +17% |
| Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-11? | Apr 13 | $315 | +$34 | +11% |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner | Apr 11 | $87 | −$85 | -98% |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Apr 11 | $338 | +$11 | +3% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Apr 08 | $376 | +$23 | +6% |
| Jazz vs. Thunder | Apr 07 | $96 | +$4 | +4% |
| Wizards vs. Heat | Apr 07 | $285 | +$15 | +5% |
| Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Jannik Sinner | Apr 04 | $279 | +$21 | +8% |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | Mar 29 | $96 | −$96 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Magic | Mar 29 | $364 | +$36 | +10% |
| Kings vs. Hornets | Mar 26 | $92 | +$8 | +9% |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Mar 26 | $237 | +$63 | +27% |
| Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats | Mar 24 | $304 | +$45 | +15% |
| Illinois State Redbirds vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Mar 22 | $188 | −$187 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Wizards | Mar 22 | $410 | +$40 | +10% |
| 76ers vs. Nuggets | Mar 19 | $270 | +$30 | +11% |