Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:13:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5A 0x5a5a…1558 crypto 206 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (2572 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$453 (-17%) realized −$453 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate41%85W / 121L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day2572.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$548
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2572 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 206 -10.5% -19.0% 41% 37% -28.2%
≤30d 206 -10.5% -19.0% 41% 37% -28.2%
≤90d 206 -10.5% -19.0% 41% 37% -28.2%
all 206 -10.5% -19.0% 41% 37% -28.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2572.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.0% 37% -28.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.8% 31% -35.1%
15% -33.9% 26% -41.3%
20% -40.3% 17% -47.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -21% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -21% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
12.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$8 · ×0.57 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.4 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$453
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses85 / 121
Open positions0
Markets (closed)206 / 206
History coverage1d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day2572.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 206 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +55%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$9 +211%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET Jun 11 $18 −$7 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +70%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2800 history records