Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:04:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5a5e…7e34
crypto · 679 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$13 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses506 / 173
Open positions0
Markets (closed)679 / 679
History coverage15d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day72.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 679 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days−$24
14 days−$24
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$3 +264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$3 +251%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$3 +217%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 184 -7.1% -15.9% 47% 39% -15.8%
≤30d 679 +1.0% -8.6% 75% 38% -10.4%
≤90d 679 +1.0% -8.6% 75% 38% -10.4%
all 679 +1.0% -8.6% 75% 38% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover72.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 38% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 22% -19.0%
15% -25.3% 13% -26.8%
20% -32.6% 6% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1557 history records