Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:09:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5A 0x5a66…c849 crypto 645 markets active 1h ago coverage 17d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (98 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$882 (-3%) realized −$882 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate61%394W / 250L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$41per market
Trades / day98.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$74
7 days−$239
14 days−$780
30 days−$1,136
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$1,089
world 2% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (98 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 131 -2.3% -11.6% 71% 44% -11.6%
≤30d 644 -7.5% -16.3% 61% 40% -13.6%
≤90d 644 -7.5% -16.3% 61% 40% -13.6%
all 644 -7.5% -16.3% 61% 40% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover98.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.3% 40% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 25% -21.9%
15% -31.6% 16% -29.4%
20% -38.3% 11% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
33% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$12 · ×0.39 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.61 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$882
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses394 / 250
Open positions0
Markets (closed)644 / 645
History coverage17d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day98.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 644 Trades
no open positions (164 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$3 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $56 −$30 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $30 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 16 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $30 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 16 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 16 $56 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $320 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $26 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $316 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $26 +$9 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 16 $41 −$20 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $335 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $30 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $361 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$7 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $356 −$10 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$2 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $21 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1750 history records