Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:58:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5a6e…bd37
sports · 340 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$925 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$910 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$910
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses127 / 212
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions1
Markets (closed)339 / 340
History coverage103d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day8.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 1 History 339 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$39
7 days+$39
14 days+$39
30 days+$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 41¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zachary Svajda Zachary Svajda 40¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bucharest Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Titouan Droguet Roberto Bautista Agut 45¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Aoi Ito Aoi Ito 42¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bucharest Open: Nuno Borges vs Damir Dzumhur Nuno Borges 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Yokkaichi: Rio Noguchi vs Yasutaka Uchiyama Yasutaka Uchiyama 57¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gaston Hugo Gaston 43¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Barletta: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Kimmer Coppejans Gilles Arnaud Bailly 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Credit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Yue Yuan Mayar Sherif 47¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Credit One Charleston Open: Sara Bejlek vs Belinda Bencic Sara Bejlek 44¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Split: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Tom Gentzsch Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Split: Mili Poljicak vs Kimmer Coppejans Kimmer Coppejans 56¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Celtics vs. Hawks Celtics 45¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bucharest Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Alex Molcan Gabriel Diallo 37¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Credit One Charleston Open: Eva Lys vs Katie Volynets Eva Lys 47¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Credit One Charleston Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremska Anastasia Zakharova 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers Tampa Bay Rays 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Alicante: Roman Safiullin vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Roman Safiullin 29¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$14 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$13 +206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$12 +192%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $19 +$21 +114%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $15 +$31 +203%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $15 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Barletta: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieri Apr 03 $13 −$4 -28%
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navone Apr 03 $20 −$2 -11%
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmic Apr 03 $18 +$22 +123%
Credit One Charleston Open: Sara Bejlek vs Belinda Bencic Apr 02 $40 −$40 -98%
Barletta: Nerman Fatic vs Federico Bondioli Apr 02 $21 +$20 +95%
Menorca: Alex Martinez vs Tiago Pereira Apr 02 $17 −$17 -99%
Barletta: Remy Bertola vs Tom Gentzsch Apr 02 $17 +$18 +107%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers Apr 01 $10 −$10 -98%
Bucharest Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Alex Molcan Apr 01 $23 −$23 -98%
Bucharest Open: Nuno Borges vs Damir Dzumhur Apr 01 $5 −$5 -97%
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Hamad Medjedovic Apr 01 $17 +$21 +128%
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machac Apr 01 $17 −$1 -3%
Barletta: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Kimmer Coppejans Apr 01 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31? Apr 01 $20 +$17 +87%
Credit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Yue Yuan Mar 31 $27 −$26 -98%
Grand Prix Hassan II: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Kamil Majchrzak Mar 31 $15 +$12 +77%
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gaston Mar 31 $20 −$20 -98%
San Luis Potosi: Max Wiskandt vs Patrick Zahraj Mar 31 $16 +$18 +114%
Bucharest Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Titouan Droguet Mar 31 $16 −$16 -99%
Credit One Charleston Open: Viktoriya Tomova vs Jennifer Brady Mar 31 $29 +$9 +31%
Sao Leopoldo: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Valerio Aboian Mar 31 $27 +$20 +75%
Celtics vs. Hawks Mar 30 $15 −$15 -99%
Credit One Charleston Open: Sloane Stephens vs Renata Zarazua Mar 30 $30 +$12 +39%
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zachary Svajda Mar 30 $14 −$14 -99%
Credit One Charleston Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremska Mar 30 $15 −$15 -99%
Barletta: Felix Gill vs Gianluca Cadenasso Mar 30 $17 +$17 +102%
Barletta: Sumit Nagal vs Toby Samuel Mar 30 $16 +$19 +118%
Credit One Charleston Open: Eva Lys vs Katie Volynets Mar 30 $16 −$16 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 52% −$42
crypto 24% −$342
other 22% −$461
world 2% −$80
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 41¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +6.1% -4.0% 41% 41% +11.7%
≤30d 22 +6.1% -4.0% 41% 41% +11.7%
≤90d 281 -23.4% -30.7% 33% 32% -30.1%
all 339 -11.3% -19.8% 37% 36% -20.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.8% 36% -20.4%
10% -27.5% 35% -28.0%
15% -34.5% 34% -35.0%
20% -40.9% 32% -41.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.02 · official $0.02 (match) · 1065 history records