Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:25:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5a73…ff06
crypto · 1725 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$108 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$108 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$108
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1518 / 207
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1725 / 1725
History coverage39d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day45.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 0 History 1725 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$24
14 days−$32
30 days−$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$97
other 5% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 147 -3.5% -12.7% 86% 19% -13.3%
≤30d 985 -2.9% -12.1% 88% 27% -11.9%
≤90d 1725 -2.7% -12.0% 88% 31% -11.8%
all 1725 -2.7% -12.0% 88% 31% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 31% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 3% -20.2%
15% -28.1% 1% -28.0%
20% -35.1% 0% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records