Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:27:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5A 0x5a84…e3d5 crypto 1372 markets active 6d ago coverage 20d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d only
✗ bot/MM pace (133 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$294 (-2%) realized −$294 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate57%815W / 622L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day133.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$439
7 days−$488
14 days−$508
30 days−$1,021
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$582
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (133 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 -89.5% -90.5% 5% 5% -87.8%
≤30d 1437 -10.1% -18.6% 57% 42% -16.2%
≤90d 1437 -10.1% -18.6% 57% 42% -16.2%
all 1437 -10.1% -18.6% 57% 42% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover133.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.6% 42% -16.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 28% -24.2%
15% -33.5% 22% -31.5%
20% -40.1% 10% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
26% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -17% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$6 · ×0.54 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$294
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses815 / 622
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1437 / 1372
History coverage20d ⚠
Avg bet$10
Trades / day133.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1437 Trades
no open positions (373 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$2 -42%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$3 -58%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$11 -141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$11 -128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$5 -183%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$3 -67%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$5 -169%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$5 -208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$5 -188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $27 −$27 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$14 -142%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $28 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $20 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $21 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $12 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $20 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $8 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $21 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $21 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $21 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $20 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $20 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $13 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records