Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T06:32:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
5A 0x5a88…e3f1 crypto 26 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$363 (+33%) realized +$363 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate62%16W / 10L
Drawdown25%max
Avg bet$43per market
Trades / day28.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$240
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-4.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 +5.9% -4.2% 62% 54% +10.2%
≤30d 26 +5.9% -4.2% 62% 54% +10.2%
≤90d 26 +5.9% -4.2% 62% 54% +10.2%
all 26 +5.9% -4.2% 62% 54% +10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover28.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.2% 54% +10.2%
10% ← realistic here -13.3% 38% -0.3%
15% -21.7% 38% -10.0%
20% -29.4% 27% -18.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 37% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +22% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +22% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +25% → late -13% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$31 vs −$25 · ×1.22 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.96 per $1 lost it wins $1.96
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$363
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses16 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)26 / 26
History coverage1d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day28.0
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 26 Trades
no open positions (10 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 24 $42 −$40 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$11 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 24 $26 −$25 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 24 $26 −$25 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$3 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 24 $106 +$81 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 24 $106 +$52 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 24 $107 +$102 +96%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 24 $105 +$41 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 24 $103 +$4 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 24 $27 −$25 -92%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 24 $104 +$14 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 24 $27 −$25 -93%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $27 −$25 -93%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 24 $11 −$10 -93%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 24 $27 +$78 +289%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 24 $26 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 24 $27 +$29 +108%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 24 $27 −$25 -91%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 24 $26 +$4 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 24 $27 +$43 +158%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 24 $27 −$25 -93%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 24 $27 −$25 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 24 $10 +$2 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 24 $11 +$18 +170%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 24 $11 +$6 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $42 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $26 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $106 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $106 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $107 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $105 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $103 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $27 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $104 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $27 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $27 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $27 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $26 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $27 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $27 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $31 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $27 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $27 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $27 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $29 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $11 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $11 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 42 history records