Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:53:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5a89…c186
other · 63 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$32 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$35 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$184
Realized+$35
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses4 / 50
Whale WR (big bets)7%
Open positions9
Markets (closed)54 / 63
History coverage3d
Avg bet$714
Trades / day1126.3
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 9 History 54 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$36
7 days+$35
14 days+$35
30 days+$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-0%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-0%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-0%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No 99¢ 99¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-0%)
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-0%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 100¢ 99¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 99¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Trump out as President by June 30? No 99¢ 99¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No 100¢ 99¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 12 $4,141 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $887 $0 -0%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $2,651 −$2 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 12 $243 $0 -0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Jun 12 $21 $0 +0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $312 $0 -0%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $822 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $19 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $41 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 12 $234 +$19 +8%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $66 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $555 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? Jun 12 $171 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 12 $583 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? Jun 12 $550 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $62 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $94 $0 -0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? Jun 12 $19 $0 +0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Jun 12 $403 $0 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Jun 12 $58 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $645 $0 -0%
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $20 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $243 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $60 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $180 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? Jun 12 $2,420 −$1 -0%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $11,651 −$7 -0%
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? Jun 12 $63 $0 +0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $20 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? Jun 12 $40 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e Jun 12 $22 $0 -0%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 11 $239 $0 +0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $79 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $21 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $298 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $101 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $62 $0 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 11 $20 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $19 $0 +0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 11 $1,599 −$2 -0%
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $846 −$1 -0%
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $3,956 +$12 +0%
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $86 $0 -0%
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $420 $0 -0%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $20 $0 +0%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Jun 11 $58 +$20 +34%
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 10 $21 $0 -0%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $100 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $19 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 30% +$9
politics 29% −$8
world 16% +$17
economics 11% +$19
tech 10% −$1
crypto 4% −$1
finance 0% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $7 1m
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $21 8m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $15 12m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $1 17m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $22 23m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $91 23m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $91 23m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $32 23m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $32 23m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $8 23m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $8 23m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $69 23m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $69 24m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $38 24m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $20 24m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $18 24m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $20 24m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $40 24m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $46 24m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $19 24m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $28 24m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $26 24m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $26 24m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $20 24m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $6 24m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $17 25m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $6 25m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $17 25m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $6 25m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $17 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +0.8% -8.8% 7% 2% -9.4%
≤30d 54 +0.8% -8.8% 7% 2% -9.4%
≤90d 54 +0.8% -8.8% 7% 2% -9.4%
all 54 +0.8% -8.8% 7% 2% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1126.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 2% -9.4%
10% -17.6% 2% -18.1%
15% ← realistic here -25.5% 0% -26.0%
20% -32.8% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $183.88 · official $183.88 (match) · 3500 history records