Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T07:03:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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5A 0x5aa2…d7d0 crypto 467 markets active 1h ago coverage 176d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 176d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,372 (-0%) realized −$1,373 · open +$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%459W / 4L
Whale WR99%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2,735per market
Trades / day17.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$2,352now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$148
7 days+$690
14 days+$1,139
30 days−$6,163
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,521
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +1.0% -8.6% 100% 0% -8.3%
≤30d 123 +0.2% -9.4% 99% 0% -11.5%
≤90d 348 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.8%
all 463 +0.2% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.0 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 0% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 99% (≥$4,523) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
6.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$17 vs −$2,372 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

176d coverage
Net worth$2,352
Realized−$1,373
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses459 / 4
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Open positions4
Markets (closed)463 / 467
History coverage176d ⚠
Avg bet$2,735
Trades / day17.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 4 History 463 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24? No 100¢ 100¢ $997 $996 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $748 $749 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 24? No 100¢ 100¢ $602 $602 +$1 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 24? No 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 23? Jun 24 $2,480 +$21 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 23? Jun 24 $20 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 23? Jun 24 $606 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 22? Jun 22 $1,706 +$25 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 22? Jun 22 $299 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 22? Jun 22 $549 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 22? Jun 22 $3,722 +$98 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21? Jun 22 $614 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21? Jun 22 $1,028 +$3 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 21? Jun 22 $1,639 +$21 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21? Jun 22 $1,497 +$18 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 21? Jun 22 $1,499 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21? Jun 21 $264 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 21? Jun 21 $4,476 +$55 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 20? Jun 21 $136 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 20? Jun 20 $4,756 +$28 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 20? Jun 20 $1,245 +$5 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 19? Jun 20 $2,073 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 19? Jun 20 $118 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 19? Jun 20 $3,349 +$16 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 19? Jun 20 $628 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 19? Jun 19 $250 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? Jun 19 $250 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $596 +$4 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $5,512 +$126 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 17? Jun 18 $4,284 +$116 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on June 17? Jun 18 $99 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $1,983 +$17 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $194 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $454 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $1,645 +$10 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $1,855 +$108 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $847 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $1,536 +$14 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $5,026 +$137 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 15? Jun 16 $278 +$2 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 15? Jun 16 $3,433 +$30 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on June 15? Jun 16 $192 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 15? Jun 16 $1,780 +$9 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? Jun 15 $5,551 +$26 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $347 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $5,186 +$16 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $335 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $606 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $1,366 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $3,193 +$27 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $3,646 +$38 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1,814 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,344 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,565 +$10 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24? BUY No 100¢ $249 31m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24? BUY No 100¢ $249 31m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24? BUY No 100¢ $46 47m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24? BUY No 100¢ $203 58m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24? BUY No 100¢ $249 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 24? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 24? BUY No 100¢ $103 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 24? BUY No 100¢ $133 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 24? BUY No 100¢ $365 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24? BUY Yes 100¢ $250 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24? BUY Yes 100¢ $250 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24? BUY Yes 100¢ $250 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $3 4h
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $3 4h
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $294 7h
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $159 7h
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $132 7h
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $3 8h
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $5 9h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 23? BUY No 99¢ $5 9h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 23? BUY No 99¢ $5 9h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 23? BUY No 99¢ $6 9h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 23? BUY No 98¢ $4 9h
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $5 9h
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $6 9h
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 23? BUY No 99¢ $2 9h
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $36 9h
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 23? BUY No 98¢ $155 12h
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 23? BUY No 99¢ $25 12h
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 23? BUY No 99¢ $247 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,352.36 · official $2,352.36 (match) · 3500 history records