Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:01:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5aa2…c092
other · 117 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$999 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$999 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$999
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses25 / 92
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)117 / 117
History coverage118d
Avg bet$1,117
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 0 History 117 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$10
14 days−$20
30 days−$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 13 $1,686 −$3 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $2,775 −$4 -0%
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 07 $2,655 −$4 -0%
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 05 $1,635 −$2 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 05 $1,483 −$2 -0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 05 $1,422 −$2 -0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 04 $1,505 −$2 -0%
Will Solana reach $100 in May? Jun 04 $55 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May? Jun 04 $913 +$1 +0%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $1,019 −$1 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 28 $1,052 −$1 -0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 28 $3,247 −$4 -0%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 27 $1,260 −$2 -0%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 27 $996 −$2 -0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 24 $1,015 −$2 -0%
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 24 $1,011 −$2 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 21 $1,336 −$2 -0%
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 21 $1,331 −$2 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 11 $1,858 −$2 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 07 $3,918 −$4 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 07 $1,628 −$2 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 07 $2,521 −$3 -0%
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 06 $1,652 −$2 -0%
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 06 $1,616 −$2 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 05 $2,996 −$4 -0%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? May 05 $1,653 −$2 -0%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02? May 05 $1,114 +$921 +83%
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? Apr 27 $1,274 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 22 $2,021 −$2 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 19 $909 −$1 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $3,832 −$4 -0%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 17 $3,312 −$3 -0%
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 15 $1,659 −$2 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 14 $908 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $3,145 −$3 -0%
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 13 $5,222 −$4 -0%
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 12 $3,176 −$3 -0%
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 12 $1,244 −$1 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 11 $982 −$1 -0%
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 05 $1,540 −$2 -0%
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 04 $2,699 −$3 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 03 $3,210 −$3 -0%
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Apr 02 $56 $0 +0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 31 $3,529 −$4 -0%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 30 $1,669 −$2 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Mar 29 $2,000 −$2 -0%
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 28 $2,079 −$2 -0%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 28 $1,299 −$1 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 27 $989 −$1 -0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 27 $1,111 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 41% +$775
politics 40% −$64
sports 15% +$328
world 2% −$11
culture 1% −$1
crypto 1% −$27
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $1,683 1h
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $1,686 3h
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,634 21h
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,637 25h
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,637 6d
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,640 6d
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $1,632 7d
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $1,635 7d
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $1,481 7d
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1,483 7d
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $1,420 8d
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $1,422 8d
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $1,503 8d
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $1,505 8d
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $1,018 12d
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $1,019 13d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $1,050 15d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1,052 15d
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $1,127 15d
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $1,128 16d
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,258 16d
Will Solana reach $100 in May? BUY No 100¢ $55 16d
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,260 16d
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $995 16d
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $996 17d
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $1,014 19d
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $1,015 19d
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,009 20d
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,011 20d
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May? BUY No 100¢ $913 21d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 18 -0.1% -9.6% 11% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 87 -4.8% -13.8% 16% 13% -9.0%
all 117 +1.7% -8.0% 21% 17% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.0% 17% -8.8%
10% -16.8% 17% -17.6%
15% -24.8% 16% -25.5%
20% -32.2% 13% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 381 history records