Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:01:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5aa9…febe
sports · 64 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$9,473 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,987 · open +$1,789
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18,193
Realized+$6,987
Unrealized+$1,789
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses27 / 40
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$3,059
Open positions14
Markets (closed)67 / 64
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2,922
Trades / day1441.2
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 14 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,110
7 days+$6,987
14 days+$6,987
30 days+$6,987
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Knicks 48¢ 61¢ $3,871 $4,880 +$1,008 (+26%)
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Knicks 48¢ 53¢ $3,880 $4,240 +$360 (+9%)
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Knicks 48¢ 52¢ $3,076 $3,292 +$217 (+7%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Knicks 48¢ 44¢ $1,658 $1,543 −$115 (-7%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 Under 59¢ 96¢ $818 $1,334 +$516 (+63%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 Over 30¢ 16¢ $2,448 $1,324 −$1,124 (-46%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5 Under 61¢ 95¢ $504 $785 +$281 (+56%)
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Knicks 36¢ 42¢ $230 $268 +$38 (+17%)
Spread: Knicks (-12.5) Spurs 93¢ 92¢ $126 $124 −$1 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5 Over 21¢ 5¢ $424 $100 −$323 (-76%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 51¢ 56¢ $67 $72 +$6 (+9%)
Spread: Knicks (-14.5) Knicks 10¢ 6¢ $100 $62 −$38 (-38%)
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) Spurs 84¢ 78¢ $66 $61 −$4 (-7%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 Over 5¢ 6¢ $31 $37 +$6 (+19%)
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Knicks 32¢ 29¢ $30 $28 −$3 (-9%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 Under 28¢ 84¢ $7 $21 +$14 (+194%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 Under 87¢ 94¢ $17 $18 +$1 (+8%)
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes NC Dinos 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+93%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 88¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles Hanwha Eagles 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz KT Wiz 75¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Spread: Spurs (-22.5) Spurs 7¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-17%)
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins LG Twins 36¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+177%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 14 $25 −$23 -92%
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles Jun 14 $118 −$114 -97%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 14 $158 −$160 -101%
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz Jun 14 $53 −$39 -74%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins Jun 14 $144 −$175 -122%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 14 $0 −$370 -170727%
Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-06-08? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -86%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-10.5) Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $220 −$220 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $296 −$310 -105%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $191 −$191 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $89 −$89 -101%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $75 −$75 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $43,366 −$1,799 -4%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10,762 −$2,310 -22%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $7,835 +$10,293 +131%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $13,427 −$3,390 -25%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1,708 −$1,492 -87%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5,386 +$481 +9%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $750 +$167 +22%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,279 +$333 +26%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3,695 +$1,152 +31%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2,417 −$1,083 -45%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4,942 +$110 +2%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $4,642 +$279 +6%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $7,153 −$556 -8%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4,559 +$63 +1%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $5,330 +$661 +12%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,825 +$580 +32%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $46 −$3 -7%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $86 +$152 +177%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $9,736 +$471 +5%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,519 +$497 +14%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $321 −$308 -96%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,093 +$275 +13%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,959 +$212 +11%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $1,343 −$799 -59%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$1 +55%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $129 −$27 -21%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,650 −$524 -32%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $103 +$188 +183%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $70 +$24 +34%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $1,030 +$140 +14%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $126 −$29 -23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$10,471
other 5% +$173
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) SELL Knicks 50¢ $9 2m
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) SELL Knicks 50¢ $492 2m
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) SELL Knicks 50¢ $45 2m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 SELL Under 97¢ $969 3m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 BUY Over 11¢ $3 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 BUY Over 11¢ $16 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 BUY Over 11¢ $7 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 BUY Over 11¢ $16 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 BUY Over 11¢ $2 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 BUY Over 11¢ $4 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 BUY Over 11¢ $20 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 BUY Over 11¢ $12 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 BUY Over 11¢ $15 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 BUY Over 11¢ $9 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 BUY Over 11¢ $7 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 BUY Over 11¢ $8 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 BUY Over 11¢ $7 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 BUY Over 11¢ $9 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 BUY Over 11¢ $6 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 BUY Over 11¢ $24 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 BUY Over 11¢ $4 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 BUY Over 11¢ $16 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 BUY Over 11¢ $11 4m
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) SELL Knicks 50¢ $102 5m
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) SELL Knicks 50¢ $46 5m
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) SELL Knicks 50¢ $18 5m
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) SELL Knicks 50¢ $109 5m
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) SELL Knicks 50¢ $5 5m
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) SELL Knicks 50¢ $92 5m
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) SELL Knicks 50¢ $14 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+23.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 +35.9% +23.0% 40% 33% -5.6%
≤30d 67 +35.9% +23.0% 40% 33% -5.6%
≤90d 67 +35.9% +23.0% 40% 33% -5.6%
all 67 +35.9% +23.0% 40% 33% -5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1441.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +23.0% 33% -5.6%
10% +11.2% 24% -14.7%
15% ← realistic here +0.5% 16% -22.9%
20% -9.4% 15% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18,193.02 · official $18,190.18 (match) · 3500 history records