Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:40:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5ab7…63ba
crypto · 1262 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,472 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$716 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$716
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses338 / 800
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1138 / 1262
History coverage91d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day26.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1138 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$104
7 days+$101
14 days−$119
30 days+$95
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 32¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+212%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$14 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$14 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$11 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$11 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$14 +251%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$12 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$13 +215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$12 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$16 +434%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$14 +251%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$14 +251%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$13 +215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$12 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$13 +205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$13 +195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$11 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$13 +195%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$716
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $7 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $19 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $8 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $19 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $19 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 +23.0% +11.3% 40% 40% +9.3%
≤30d 656 -0.8% -10.2% 33% 32% -8.3%
≤90d 998 -8.1% -16.8% 31% 30% -14.7%
all 1138 -11.3% -19.8% 30% 29% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.8% 29% -15.2%
10% ← realistic here -27.4% 29% -23.3%
15% -34.4% 29% -30.7%
20% -40.9% 29% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.32 · official $0.00 (match) · 2544 history records