trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 22 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.6% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.4% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.6% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 24 | $1,319 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | Jun 24 | $60 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 24 | $1,306 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Jun 24 | $1,217 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Jun 23 | $1,326 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Jun 23 | $54 | $0 | -0% |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? | Jun 23 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | Jun 23 | $1,201 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 23 | $199 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? | Apr 18 | $16 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Apr 17 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 16 | $196 | $0 | -0% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Apr 16 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin | Apr 05 | $149 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 05 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 05 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 01 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 01 | $71 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me | Mar 31 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Mar 26 | $128 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 26 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 26 | $51 | $0 | -0% |