Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:31:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5aba…73ba
crypto · 618 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$125 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$125 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$125
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses419 / 199
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)618 / 618
Avg bet$2
Trades / day135.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 618 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$118
14 days−$125
30 days−$125
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 7? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$105
sports 5% −$8
weather 4% −$12
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $13 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $11 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-20.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 575 -12.5% -20.8% 66% 32% -20.4%
≤30d 618 -12.3% -20.7% 68% 31% -20.3%
≤90d 618 -12.3% -20.7% 68% 31% -20.3%
all 618 -12.3% -20.7% 68% 31% -20.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover135.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.7% 31% -20.3%
10% ← realistic here -28.3% 19% -27.9%
15% -35.2% 14% -34.9%
20% -41.5% 10% -41.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1486 history records