Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:59:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5A 0x5ac2…6202 crypto 63 markets active 6d ago coverage 6d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,070 (-5%) realized −$1,070 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate76%48W / 15L
Whale WR94%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$375per market
Trades / day20.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,305
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -6.7% -15.6% 76% 35% -14.6%
≤30d 63 -8.0% -16.8% 76% 32% -14.5%
≤90d 63 -8.0% -16.8% 76% 32% -14.5%
all 63 -8.0% -16.8% 76% 32% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 32% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 14% -22.7%
15% -32.0% 10% -30.2%
20% -38.7% 6% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
54% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 94% (≥$802) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -10% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$48 vs −$241 · ×0.2 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,070
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses48 / 15
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)63 / 63
History coverage6d
Avg bet$375
Trades / day20.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 63 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$31 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $105 −$82 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $203 −$64 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $307 −$193 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $303 +$30 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $411 +$56 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $406 −$294 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $505 −$465 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $505 +$57 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $507 +$118 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $813 −$754 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $810 +$154 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $810 +$136 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $308 +$195 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $804 −$801 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $802 +$18 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $806 +$71 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $803 +$22 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $804 +$35 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $805 +$56 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $806 +$72 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $809 +$124 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 11 $803 +$35 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $806 +$73 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $804 +$38 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $808 +$100 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $805 +$54 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $802 +$19 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $505 +$63 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $508 +$112 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $502 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $603 +$27 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $605 +$63 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $605 +$53 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $605 +$51 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $410 +$178 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $257 +$162 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $206 −$182 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $152 +$25 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $102 +$45 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $514 −$475 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $202 −$200 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $101 −$91 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $101 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 05 $31 +$9 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $31 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $23 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $104 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $103 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $37 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $103 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $114 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $306 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $302 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $203 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $219 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $207 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $30 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $202 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $112 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $204 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $36 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $504 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $504 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $507 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 179 history records