Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T17:28:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
5A 0x5ac7…5a94 crypto 118 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (72 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$67 (+10%) realized +$67 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR69%break-even
Win rate69%82W / 36L
Drawdown40%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day72.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (72 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)-2.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 118 +7.8% -2.5% 69% 69% -2.1%
≤30d 118 +7.8% -2.5% 69% 69% -2.1%
≤90d 118 +7.8% -2.5% 69% 69% -2.1%
all 118 +7.8% -2.5% 69% 69% -2.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover72.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.5% 69% -2.1%
10% ← realistic here -11.8% 67% -11.5%
15% -20.4% 47% -20.0%
20% -28.2% 26% -27.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +8% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +8% · $-wt +8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late +8% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.58 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.33 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$67
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses82 / 36
Open positions0
Markets (closed)118 / 118
History coverage2d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day72.0
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 118 Trades
no open positions (22 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$4 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $26 +$15 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$3 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 243 history records