trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | Jun 07 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies | Apr 10 | $1,319 | −$1,319 | -100% |
| Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-20.5) | Mar 21 | $1,000 | +$991 | +99% |
| Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5) | Mar 20 | $300 | +$297 | +99% |
| Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5) | Mar 20 | $300 | +$274 | +91% |
| Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils | Mar 19 | $947 | +$255 | +27% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? | Mar 19 | $177 | −$177 | -100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | Mar 03 | $309 | +$4,959 | +1607% |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | Feb 28 | $225 | +$696 | +309% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +2.3% | -7.4% | 57% | 57% | -6.9% |
| all | 9 | +214.7% | +184.7% | 67% | 67% | +99.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +184.7% | 67% | +99.9% |
| 10% | +157.5% | 67% | +80.7% |
| 15% | +132.6% | 56% | +63.3% |
| 20% | +109.8% | 56% | +47.3% |