Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:25:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5ac9…7bf1
crypto · 16 markets active 9h ago
5.5score
+$7 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses6 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)11 / 16
History coverage81d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown95%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 4 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +43%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +24%
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the May 25 $6 +$4 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Apr 03 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Apr 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Apr 03 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Apr 03 $1 $0 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Apr 03 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Apr 03 $6 +$5 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Mar 25 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Mar 24 $3 +$1 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 52% $0
sports 35% +$7
other 13% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND W BUY 24¢ $5 9h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 9h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 34¢ $1 9h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 9h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 9h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL No 100¢ $7 9h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 69¢ $5 33h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY No 80¢ $5 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 70d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 70d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 70d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 70d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $5 70d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 70d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $4 70d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $7 70d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $6 70d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 70d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $8 79d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 79d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 79d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $4 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 80d
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the BUY No 65¢ $6 81d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +33.8% +21.0% 100% 100% +21.1%
≤30d 3 +40.5% +27.1% 100% 100% +28.2%
≤90d 11 -3.9% -13.1% 55% 55% +5.5%
all 11 -3.9% -13.1% 55% 55% +5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.1% 55% +5.5%
10% -21.4% 55% -4.6%
15% -29.0% 36% -13.8%
20% -35.9% 27% -22.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.92 · official $8.92 · 27 history records