Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:21:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5ad0…5beb
sports · 88 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$70 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34 · open +$105
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Net worth$230
Realized−$34
Unrealized+$105
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses22 / 63
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions3
Markets (closed)85 / 88
History coverage63d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 3 History 85 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$27
14 days+$27
30 days+$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Over 76¢ 100¢ $100 $132 +$32 (+32%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Over 100¢ $5 $56 +$51 (+1011%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 100¢ $20 $43 +$23 (+113%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3 +$3 +91%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 +$25 +246%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$10 +194%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -11%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Lakers vs. Thunder May 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs May 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Lakers vs. Thunder May 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Magic vs. Pistons May 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers May 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Rockets vs. Lakers May 01 $31 −$31 -100%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers May 01 $31 −$31 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Apr 29 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27? Apr 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Lakers vs. Rockets Apr 27 $20 −$11 -56%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Apr 26 $12 +$23 +190%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 26? Apr 26 $1 −$1 -66%
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 1 Nottingham Forest FC? Apr 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Will West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? Apr 25 $1 $0 -43%
Lakers vs. Rockets Apr 25 $10 +$44 +435%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Apr 24 $10 +$3 +29%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 23? Apr 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Apr 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 20? Apr 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 18? Apr 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 20? Apr 20 $1 +$2 +186%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 20 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 18? Apr 19 $20 −$20 -100%
Warriors vs. Suns Apr 19 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 19 $11 +$10 +89%
LoL: Bohemian Guardians vs eSuba (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seas Apr 19 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Apr 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-17? Apr 19 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-04-16? Apr 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? Apr 18 $10 −$1 -6%
Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? Apr 18 $10 −$4 -36%
Will Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw? Apr 18 $10 −$8 -84%
Will Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? Apr 18 $10 +$18 +175%
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17? Apr 18 $10 +$60 +596%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-16? Apr 17 $5 +$12 +238%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-16? Apr 17 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Apr 17 $3 −$1 -33%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 67% +$42
other 26% +$53
weather 5% −$26
crypto 2% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over $5 22m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 76¢ $102 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $21 11h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 51¢ $3 13h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 26¢ $1 17h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $10 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $5 24h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $4 24h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $10 34h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $5 34h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $5 34h
Thunder vs. Spurs BUY Thunder $1 19d
Spurs vs. Thunder BUY Spurs 32¢ $3 23d
Lakers vs. Thunder BUY Lakers 13¢ $2 36d
Timberwolves vs. Spurs BUY Timberwolves $2 37d
Lakers vs. Thunder BUY Lakers $1 38d
Magic vs. Pistons BUY Magic 27¢ $10 41d
Raptors vs. Cavaliers BUY Raptors 28¢ $10 41d
Rockets vs. Lakers BUY Lakers 30¢ $10 43d
Rockets vs. Lakers BUY Lakers 27¢ $21 43d
Raptors vs. Cavaliers BUY Raptors 25¢ $10 44d
Raptors vs. Cavaliers BUY Raptors 46¢ $21 44d
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets BUY Timberwolves 19¢ $20 46d
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27? BUY Yes 25¢ $10 46d
Lakers vs. Rockets SELL Lakers 12¢ $9 47d
Lakers vs. Rockets BUY Lakers 27¢ $20 47d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 26? SELL Yes $0 48d
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves BUY Nuggets 14¢ $2 48d
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves SELL Timberwolves 89¢ $35 48d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 26? BUY Yes $1 48d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-23.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +41.5% +28.0% 62% 38% +44.6%
≤30d 10 +13.2% +2.4% 50% 30% +32.4%
≤90d 85 -15.0% -23.1% 26% 22% -15.1%
all 85 -15.0% -23.1% 26% 22% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.1% 22% -15.1%
10% -30.4% 22% -23.2%
15% -37.2% 21% -30.6%
20% -43.3% 21% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $229.57 · official $229.57 (match) · 253 history records