trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -68.9% | -71.9% | 25% | 25% | -73.3% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -29.8% | -36.5% | 62% | 31% | -53.1% |
| all | 19 | -36.1% | -42.2% | 58% | 21% | -51.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -42.2% | 21% | -51.5% |
| 10% | -47.7% | 16% | -56.2% |
| 15% | -52.8% | 5% | -60.4% |
| 20% | -57.4% | 0% | -64.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $68 | $67 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies | Jun 09 | $42 | −$41 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $72 | −$71 | -99% |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 28 | $72 | +$17 | +24% |
| Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group | May 21 | $120 | −$119 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group S | May 13 | $93 | −$92 | -99% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | May 13 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | May 13 | $11 | +$1 | +7% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | May 13 | $36 | +$14 | +38% |
| LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen (BO3) - LFL Playoffs | May 13 | $49 | +$12 | +24% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | May 13 | $68 | +$9 | +14% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 28 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in Febru | Mar 23 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 23 | $17 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Mar 03 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 13, 2026? | Feb 13 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | Feb 03 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Clavicular in jail by January 31? | Feb 03 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Jan 20 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | Jan 20 | $15 | $0 | +0% |