Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T19:27:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5A 0x5add…0950 crypto 1948 markets active 0h ago coverage 15d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 15d only
✗ bot/MM pace (128 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$2 (+0%) realized +$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR73%break-even
Win rate73%1467W / 539L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day128.2pace
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,710
7 days−$1,803
14 days−$1,219
30 days−$961
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 85% +$1,833
other 15% +$321
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (128 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +73%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1041 -19.9% -27.6% 60% 60% -26.6%
≤30d 2006 -3.4% -12.6% 73% 73% -15.0%
≤90d 2006 -3.4% -12.6% 73% 73% -15.0%
all 2006 -3.4% -12.6% 73% 73% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover128.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 73% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 54% -23.1%
15% -28.6% 25% -30.6%
20% -35.6% 8% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +15% → late -21% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$9 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses1467 / 539
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2006 / 1948
History coverage15d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day128.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2006 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 42m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records