trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 11 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 18% | 0% | -11.6% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 18% | 0% | -11.6% |
| all | 18 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 44% | 6% | -11.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 6% | -11.0% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 0% | -19.5% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -27.3% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -34.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 92¢ | 90¢ | $33 | $33 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 03 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 02 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 01 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 31 | $61 | −$6 | -10% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 30 | $7 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 30 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 29 | $41 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 29 | $40 | $0 | +1% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 28 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 28 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Rumble buy TikTok? | Jun 27 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30? | May 06 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 06 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May? | May 06 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| St. John's vs. DePaul | Mar 04 | $7 | +$1 | +16% |