Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T07:10:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
5B 0x5b0a…4d57 weather 148 markets active 1h ago coverage 45d
TRAPdo not copy weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$3,749 (+5%) realized +$3,749 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR9%break-even
Win rate99%146W / 2L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$541per market
Trades / day26.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$77
7 days+$383
14 days+$1,052
30 days+$2,447
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
weather 100% +$3,607
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +2.4% -7.4% 93% 4% -6.2%
≤30d 98 +4.7% -5.2% 98% 10% -5.3%
≤90d 148 +4.1% -5.8% 99% 9% -5.5%
all 148 +4.1% -5.8% 99% 9% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.8% 9% -5.5%
10% -14.8% 3% -14.5%
15% ← realistic here -23.1% 1% -22.8%
20% -30.6% 1% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
90% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$650) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +3% → late +5% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
7.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$25 vs −$0 · ×9669.93 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×705904.85 per $1 lost it wins $705904.85
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

45d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,749
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses146 / 2
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)148 / 148
History coverage45d
Avg bet$541
Trades / day26.2
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 148 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? Jun 15 $817 +$49 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 15? Jun 15 $257 +$3 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 15? Jun 15 $156 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 15? Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 14? Jun 14 $165 +$20 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 14? Jun 14 $769 +$5 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 14? Jun 14 $111 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 14? Jun 14 $90 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $847 +$44 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $342 +$4 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $90 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $378 +$5 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1,128 +$61 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $86 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $162 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $927 +$67 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $323 +$7 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $416 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $632 +$57 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $985 +$15 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $20 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 9? Jun 09 $485 +$11 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 9? Jun 09 $97 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 9? Jun 09 $101 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 9? Jun 09 $542 +$13 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 8? Jun 08 $441 +$15 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 8? Jun 08 $100 +$3 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 7? Jun 07 $645 +$17 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 7? Jun 07 $643 +$6 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 6? Jun 06 $727 +$34 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 6? Jun 06 $206 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 6? Jun 06 $979 +$11 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 5? Jun 05 $37 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 5? Jun 05 $39 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 4? Jun 04 $1,380 +$367 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 4? Jun 04 $2,232 +$38 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 4? Jun 04 $479 +$6 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 3? Jun 03 $217 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 2? Jun 02 $375 +$2 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 2? Jun 02 $515 +$7 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 1? Jun 01 $30 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 1? Jun 01 $934 +$86 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 1? Jun 01 $28 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 1? Jun 01 $201 +$87 +44%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 1? Jun 01 $2,474 +$3 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 1? Jun 01 $360 +$3 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 31? Jun 01 $327 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 31? Jun 01 $532 +$23 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 31? Jun 01 $606 +$5 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? SELL No 100¢ $142 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? SELL No 100¢ $251 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? SELL No 100¢ $114 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? SELL No 100¢ $33 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? SELL No 100¢ $221 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? SELL No 100¢ $102 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? SELL No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $12 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $11 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $99 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? BUY No 78¢ $11 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $113 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? BUY No 90¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $74 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? BUY No 98¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? BUY No 97¢ $102 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $72 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? BUY No 98¢ $49 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? BUY No 96¢ $47 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? BUY No 87¢ $195 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 15? BUY No 56¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 15? SELL No 100¢ $217 2h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 15? SELL No 100¢ $8 2h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 15? SELL No 100¢ $10 2h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 15? SELL No 100¢ $25 2h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $54 3h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1308 history records